altariel: (Default)
altariel ([personal profile] altariel) wrote2008-06-12 01:47 pm

Politics

Blimey, David Davis has resigned to force a by-election over the issue of the 42-day six week detention limit.

Hey, but at least we are all SO MUCH SAFER now!

[identity profile] communicator.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 01:17 pm (UTC)(link)
I must in all honesty say that it's a shrewd political move, and for a good cause
ext_6322: (Vote)

[identity profile] kalypso-v.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 01:42 pm (UTC)(link)
...which puts him in a very strong position if Cameron slips up, as Cameron clearly realises...

Nasty situation for the Labour candidate, because who in their senses is going to want to fight a by-election defending 42 days?

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 01:46 pm (UTC)(link)
No, I didn't get the impression Cameron was thrilled with the decision.


who in their senses is going to want to fight a by-election defending 42 days?

Well, they could always ask Anne Widdecombe.

[identity profile] communicator.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:00 pm (UTC)(link)
The shrewd counter-move for Labour, speaking purely from a position of political strategy, would be to dismiss it as a stunt, say that he's demeaning/trivialising the electoral process, and refuse to put up a candidate.

I imagine his motives are internal party politics, but the banner he has chosen to make a stand under is a liegitimate one.
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[identity profile] kalypso-v.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:20 pm (UTC)(link)
I think it's quite possibly both; even Tories can take a principled stand, and if that happens to advance his own position, win-win. Which is why I'm aghast, because I regard Cameron as the lesser of two people-I-really-don't-want-in-No.-10.

And yes, I'd just about come round to "don't fight the by-election" myself. I fear they won't have the nerve.

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:23 pm (UTC)(link)
But can Brown really afford to bottle another election? I don't think Labour have any good options here.
ext_6322: (Vote)

[identity profile] kalypso-v.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:53 pm (UTC)(link)
I just faxed Downing Street to tell him, anyway. Wonder if I'll get a 6 a.m. phone call.

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 04:29 pm (UTC)(link)
If the only people to stand in favour of 42 days at this by-election are the BNP, how will that make the Goverment look?

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 05:58 pm (UTC)(link)
Actually, belay that last comment. It turns out the BNP opposes 42 days too.
julesjones: (Default)

[personal profile] julesjones 2008-06-12 02:59 pm (UTC)(link)
They were already doing that an hour or so after the speech, or at least one MP was doing so in a manner that suggested to me it was a put-up job.

I think his motive is at least partly genuine principle-of-the-thing - I get the impression this is an issue he feels strongly about, and there's a significant chunk of the Tory electorate who will be all for banging up those dirty terrorists without trial, the innocent have nothing to fear, yadda yadda.

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:21 pm (UTC)(link)
Nasty situation for the Labour candidate, because who in their senses is going to want to fight a by-election defending 42 days?

But the Prime Minister keeps telling us how popular it is! Surely a golden opportunity for a bold and principled socialist to defeat a bleeding-heart, soft-on-terror quisling.
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[identity profile] kalypso-v.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:47 pm (UTC)(link)
The awful truth is that a significant portion of the electorate are to the right of David Davis. I don't think they'd actually go as far as not voting him back in, though.

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 05:27 pm (UTC)(link)
Has Labour suddenly got shy about attracting votes from right-wing authoritarians? That would be a welcome development.

[identity profile] hafren.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 03:41 pm (UTC)(link)
But IIRC, YouGov polls have shown that a majority of the electorate actually want the 42-day limit. So it seems a dicy issue for him to fight on, if that's really what he is doing (and not just making a leadership bid). Furthermore, constituencies are notoriously averse to being called out to vote for what may seem to them, if those polls are true, insufficient reason. Furtherfurthermore, if as I heard rumoured, the LibDems nationally are telling their local party not to stand against him, they are risking an enormous raspberry from said locals (and again, possibly, from the electorate, who tend to get iffy about team orders).

I doubt Cameron wanted this. Why, in any case, do it now - since we all know it's liable to be stopped by the Lords and if not by them, by Europe?
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[identity profile] kalypso-v.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 04:18 pm (UTC)(link)
He knows his constituency - he's got to feel he's safe there to make the gamble.

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 01:42 pm (UTC)(link)
I honestly can't think of another example of a resignation like this.

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:17 pm (UTC)(link)
The Ulster Unionists did the same thing en masse in protest at the Anglo-Irish Agreement.

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 06:17 pm (UTC)(link)
Nick Robinson's blog supplies me with this nugget: "George Lansbury, 1912: The Labour MP for Tower Hamlets, Bow and Bromley resigned to fight a by-election on a platform of votes for women. The Labour Party disapproved of his resignation and Lansbury lost the contest to the Conservative candidate by 731 votes."

[identity profile] the-wild-iris.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 01:40 pm (UTC)(link)
I know detention without charge makes me feel safer.

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 01:42 pm (UTC)(link)
Surely the Lords will chuck it out. But then I can't see the government backing down then :-(

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:16 pm (UTC)(link)
Surely the Lords will chuck it out

You would think so, but...

A significant portion of the Parliamentary Conservative Party are in favour of 42 days. While Davies was always opposed to it on principle, many of his colleagues only went along with him for the prospect of inflicting a high-profile defeat on the Government. It is open to question whether the Conservative Lords would solidly oppose it.

Which is at least one good reason for Davies making this move: he makes it harder for the Tories to backslide on the issue.

[identity profile] gfk88.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:29 pm (UTC)(link)
Could Labour stop him resigning? Isn't there that stuff about you can only resign if you take a paid Crown post etc, and you need the chancellor of the excheq to rubber stamp it ?

Just think how many lines you'd have to do in a six-week detention, though.

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 02:38 pm (UTC)(link)
Just think how many lines you'd have to do in a six-week detention, though.

I MUST NOT THINK FREELY. I MUST NOT THINK FREELY. I MUST NOT THINK.

[identity profile] qatsi.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 06:34 pm (UTC)(link)
Could Labour stop him resigning?

In theory, yes; as you have said, an appointment to the Chiltern Hundreds has to be authorised by the Chancellor.

(Beano Johnson went to the Other Place).

[identity profile] ex-naomi-ja.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 03:26 pm (UTC)(link)
Loving the idea that people can be arrested detained before committing their criminal acts. Just think how many people won't be stabbed to death on their doorsteps now.

Wait, didn't this happen in a Tom Cruise film? I can't recall how it worked out, but I seem to think "not great" was the answer.

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 03:39 pm (UTC)(link)
Minority Report. I don't remember how it works out either. Love that icon.

[identity profile] iainjcoleman.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 05:52 pm (UTC)(link)
All you have to remember is that the Philip K Dick story is massively better.

[identity profile] muuranker.livejournal.com 2008-06-12 06:03 pm (UTC)(link)
There was a nice scene with balloons, I remember.

Me, I'm watching political developments with a slight nervousness because there's a bill going through (with all party support) which I want to pass. This complicates my feelings no end!

Whoa, stop press!

(Anonymous) 2008-06-12 04:56 pm (UTC)(link)
Wait, you mean there's a *limit* on how long you can detain suspected terrorists? As in, it is possible to do something illegal to suspected terrorists? Really?

I guess it's possible even over here. How novel. (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080612/ap_on_go_su_co/scotus_guantanamo)

And in other good political news, though of the unlikely-to-bear-fruit sort: Kucinich introduced articles of impeachment against Bush. (http://www.truthout.org/article/kucinich-introduces-impeachment-articles-against-bush) I don't believe I've seen mainstream press coverage of this yet...

I did catch the "Al-qaeda documents left on train" headline and shook my head in awe. What is it with civil servants leaving social security data on laptops in cars to be stolen or forgetting security documents on trains?

Dwim

Re: Whoa, stop press!

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-13 07:44 am (UTC)(link)
Wait, you mean there's a *limit* on how long you can detain suspected terrorists?

Interesting idea, isn't it?

I only heard about the Kucinich story through my friends list here on LJ.


What is it with civil servants leaving social security data on laptops in cars to be stolen or forgetting security documents on trains?

I suspect there are problems of motivation within the civil service.
owl: Stylized barn owl (Default)

[personal profile] owl 2008-06-12 06:29 pm (UTC)(link)
The BNP isn't putting a candidate against him because they agree with him? Did I read that right? I'd have thought they'd be all for locking up Asians....

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-13 07:42 am (UTC)(link)
Apparently so. Kelvin MacKenzie was saying on This Week last night Rupert Murdoch was encouraging him to stand.

[identity profile] ithilwen.livejournal.com 2008-06-13 01:04 am (UTC)(link)
Just think: eventually a law will be passed allowing indefinite detention from the moment of birth. Then everyone will be locked away in solitary confinement for their entire existence, and Perfect Safety will at last be achieved!

[identity profile] altariel.livejournal.com 2008-06-13 07:40 am (UTC)(link)
And we'll all sleep well at night!